1. A percentage of people are emerging who say they won’t vote for a man of color no matter what.

2. Obama’s inexperience in politics and life is working against him.  Being a nice guy isn’t a presidential qualification.

3. If McCain picks a great Vice President – like Colin Powell -  the Reps have it in the bag.

4. Obama’s VP pick will sink him right away unless he picks Hillary Clinton. She is the only Democrat with the power, experience and votes to bring home the prize. No one else comes close. Current Vice Presidential balloons demonstrate
that Obama is clearly out of touch with political reality - see elitism point below.

5. We’re off to war again – this time with Iran and we’re saber rattling with Russia. Incumbent parties at time of
war generally stay in place. Who wants to risk our troops to a new, inexperienced, President?

6. Barack and his wife’s reported elitist statures are beginning to show through the veneer. Winning the Presidency is a
down and dirty job; there’s no getting around that.

7. Obama's trip to the Middle East and Europe, while certainly educational and fun, did nothing to lift his poll numbers. A quick visit does not experience make.

8. John Edwards woes aren’t helping. Unless Condi Rice comes out of the closet in the next 60 days, that balance will
stay decidedly against him.

9. The Jesus effect is wearing off.  Obama's popularity peaked too early.

10. Ralph Nader is back. He will easily pick up 3 - 6% of Democratic votes which means Obama needs a double digit
lead on election day. The ghost of 2000 isn’t out of sight yet.

There you have it - 10 reasons.

Of course, I could be wrong.